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2014 Top 24 Rookie Rankings (Post-Draft)


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#1 EastBayFunk

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Posted 13 February 2014 - 06:26 PM

Here are some preliminary rookie rankings for the 2014 class before the combine. A few notes:

 

- These rankings are meant for standard 12-14 team start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3-4 WR, 1 TE leagues. In special formats like 2QB or 1.5 PPR for TE, I would bump players at those positions up significantly.

- I only have two tiers this year because I see the dropoffs being a little more flat than in a typical year. There isn't a huge, huge difference in value between say...the #10 pick and the #18 pick in my opinion. That will probably change after the combine.

- I would expect some of the unlisted/fringe prospects to eventually make a push for inclusion in the top 24. Guys like Charles Sims, Terrance West, and Robert Herron could have a decent case for it in May depending on what happens in the NFL draft.

 

FIRST TIER

 

1. WR Sammy Watkins, Clemson – Watkins doesn't have a huge frame, but he's big enough and his straight-line speed is excellent. I view him as a cross between Julio Jones and Mike Wallace. He can take short passes the distance, he's tough enough and strong enough to function in the possession game, and he has the vertical explosiveness to go long. I value him as a top 10-12 dynasty WR right out of the box.

 

2. WR Marqise Lee, USC – Lee isn't the biggest target and he has some consistency issues with his hands, but he plays stronger than his listed dimensions and has a rare degree of initial quickness, fluidity, and agility. He's going to be uncoverable as a slot weapon on short-intermediate routes thanks to his route running ability and he has enough speed to sneak deep as an outside receiver. I think he's a safe bet to become a solid NFL player and I value him as a top 15-20 dynasty WR from day one.

 

3. RB Carlos Hyde, Ohio State – He's big, he's fluid, he has nimble feet, and he can catch the ball. Is he a GREAT talent? Probably not, but his overall skill set is similar to that of Eddie Lacy and LeVeon Bell. If he goes to a team with a wide open opportunity, he should be able to yield a rookie season much like theirs. That makes him an attractive commodity in FF.

 

4. RB Jeremy Hill, LSU – Hill is a bit like Hyde in some ways. Both are bigger backs with surprising foot quickness. Hill may actually be a bit more dynamic with potentially a higher ceiling. He has little man feet on a big frame and displays surprising long speed. He can catch the ball and grind out tough yards. He's ready to produce top 10-15 RB seasons right away. So if he goes to a team that will give him a starting opportunity, expect solid results. There is some character risk based on his past.

 

5. RB Lache Seastrunk, Baylor – Seastrunk is a fast and athletic back who will appeal to teams seeking a home run hitter. Although he has a solid and compact frame, he does not run with a lot of thump. He's more of a speed back than a pounder or a juker. However, I think he shows enough elusiveness to run between the tackles. Add that to his electric big play ability and he should be a dynamic starter in the NFL. He will have to answer questions about his durability, character, and pass catching skills.

 

6. WR Allen Robinson, Penn State – A gifted natural receiver with great body control, fluidity, and initial quickness. Robinson isn't the strongest or the fastest, but he “knows how to get open” with subtle moves to set up defenders and create space. He's also a natural when the ball is in the air and in his hands. He can make circus catches in traffic and he transitions to running after the catch very well, showing good elusiveness for a tall player. Though not a dominant “on paper” athlete, I think he has a high floor and a pretty high ceiling. He should at least be an Eric Decker type in the NFL and could top out as something like a taller Reggie Wayne.

 

7. WR Mike Evans, Texas A&M – Evans is one of the toughest players in this draft for me to evaluate. His production was excellent and he has a tall frame with great range. He has good top speed and was able to make many big plays on screen passes despite not looking like the most evasive open field runner. I have some nagging fear that he doesn't possess enough quickness or agility to get open in the NFL, so I'll be watching him closely in the receiving drills at the combine to assess his movement skills. For the time being I'm slightly down on him relative to average, but I think he has a high ceiling and he's a player that could move up in future editions of this list.

 

8. TE Eric Ebron, North Carolina – Ebron looks like one of the safest skill prospects in this draft. Although he's often compared to Vernon Davis, he's not as fast, but a better and rangier pure receiver. The player he reminds me of is Kellen Winslow Jr. As long as he can stay healthy, I think he's a lock to become a solid starter with the upside to potentially become a Pro Bowl type. I value him as a top 6-7 dynasty TE based on his combination of security and upside. However, TE is a devalued position in many FF formats, so that's why he's at the bottom of my first tier.

 

 

 

SECOND TIER

 

9. WR Kelvin Benjamin, Florida State – A tall target with imposing strength at the catch point. Benjamin makes some great highlight reel grabs and also flashes a little bit of open field YAC ability. Given his imposing frame and big play skills, Benjamin has a very high ceiling if he hits. However, he seems like a boom-or-bust proposition. He's almost too long-legged for his own good (suspect initial quickness), he has consistency issues with his hands, and he's old relative to his draft standing. I sort of doubt that he's really going to hit big, but if he does the value could be tremendous.

 

10. WR Odell Beckham, LSU – Beckham is a tricky player to gauge because I like him for NFL purposes, but I don't know if his game will translate to FF production as well as some other players. He's slightly undersized for a potential #1 WR and his punt return exploits won't count for anything in most FF leagues. However, he's a great athlete with a high floor who should become a major contributor to his NFL team. It may be as more of a #2 WR/return specialist than as a 130+ target per year WR.

 

11. WR Donte Moncrief, Ole Miss – Moncrief has the height/weight/speed of a #1 NFL receiver, but he doesn't play like one. He's inconsistent as a possession receiver and lacks great initial quickness. He's more of a loping runner than a compact/agile athlete. His hands are spotty at times. He never dominated in college despite his talent, but I think he can be more productive at the next level than he was at Mississippi. He's a very dangerous deep threat thanks to his speed and size. He reminds me of a better version of Cowboys WR Terrance Williams and would be an ideal #2 receiver with a QB who likes to go long. That could result in a FF career somewhere along the lines of Torrey Smith and Mike Wallace.

 

12. WR Davante Adams, Fresno State – He's not incredible in any way, but he's solid at pretty much everything. In that regard he reminds me a little bit of Hakeem Nicks as a draft prospect. Big, but not huge. Fast, but not a burner. Athletic, but not freaky. In a dream scenario he could end up making an impact like that of Roddy White or Nicks, but he may end up being just a decent #2 target. I'm a little less certain on his athletic ability than some of these other receivers, so I'll be watching him closely at the combine to see what's under the hood.

 

13. RB Devonta Freeman, Florida State – Freeman has the type of skill set that should translate into NFL serviceability, if not more. He's deceptively strong with a compact frame that yields a lot more tackle breaking power than you'd think just looking at his listed weight. He has a nice burst of speed. He can catch the ball. He's a little bit straight-linish as a runner and he struggles to make the second cut once he gets up to full speed, but he does flash some ability to pick his way through traffic. I don't think he's an awesome talent who will demand a starting job wherever he goes, but he should be able to get on the field and contribute. Possibly as a starter in the right situation.

 

14. RB Tre Mason, Auburn – Mason is a compact runner with deceptive power, decent quickness, and good fluidity. Although he doesn't really have a lot of flashy qualities, he was a very effective grinder at the college level. I'd feel a bit better about his NFL potential if he were a bit more special physically, as he lacks rare explosiveness or size. However, he's solid and could be a serviceable NFL starter.

 

15. RB KaDeem Carey, Arizona – A poor man's LeSean McCoy. He doesn't have the conventional bottom-heavy RB body type, but he compensates with his good foot quickness. He's a shifty and slippery runner who can handle a big workload. There's a lack of special athletic tools and that may limit him to a backup role in the long term in the NFL. As with most of these second tier backs, landing spot will be a crucial variable in his FF value. As his opportunity goes, so goes his value.

 

16. RB Andre Williams, Boston College – Williams is a unique talent with some different qualities compared with the rest of this RB class. He's not as versatile as most of the other top backs, showing suspect elusiveness as a runner and minimal potential as a pass catcher. He's more of a classic two-down pounder. He has a hulking frame and deceptive speed with long strides that chew up turf. If he goes to a team that will commit to getting him the ball, he could end up making a Brandon Jacobs type of impact. I think he might be a little underrated. However, he lacks avoidance skills and will most likely have a short shelf life.

 

17. WR Brandin Cooks, Oregon State – Very explosive and athletic. Cooks is lightning in a bottle with legitimate track speed and good quickness. However, he's also acutely undersized, so there are going to be questions about his usage. He might not fit the mold of a high volume target. He'll never be a great red zone threat and with guys this little you've got to question their ability to take a hit. If he ends up being a top 10-12 rookie pick, I'm unlikely to be a buyer. I don't mind the gamble in the 12-25 range though on the chance that you end up with something like a DeSean Jackson or Antonio Brown.

 

18. QB Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M – Is he a disaster waiting to happen? He was a star in college, but he'll have a huge target on his back in the NFL and he won't be able to get away with a lot of things that worked for him on Saturdays. Manziel is extremely mobile with great improvisational skills as a runner and passer. He plays with fearlessness and will not shrink away from the big moment. Of all the three quarterbacks projected to go in the first, he looks like he has the most superstar potential. On the other hand, he also looks like a massive bust risk. He's not that big and his reckless style could get him into trouble against NFL defenders. Although he has a decent arm, his pure pocket passing ability is questionable. He will float passes, hold the ball too long, and sometimes just chuck it up for grabs. I see him as something like a Jeff Garcia, Doug Flutie, or Jake Plummer type of player. He won't be a conventional pocket passer, but if a team surrounds him with the right players then he can potentially be successful. He will have to stay focused and put in the work. I think he would really benefit by spending a year on the sidelines ala Mike Vick. If he's rushed into game duty too quickly, there's a significant chance he could go into a permanent tailspin. Despite the obvious risk, he has an appealing upside and that's the main thing I'm looking for in a developmental dynasty QB, so I'll roll the dice here.

 

19. TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Washington – Talked about as a possible top 10 overall pick in the offseason, ASJ simply doesn't have the raw explosiveness to warrant such a high selection. He doesn't break big plays and isn't very fast, but I like his chances of having a moderately successful career as a big body power forward type. He has a huge frame, he's nimble for a big man, and he has good innate receiving skills to come down with difficult grabs. I see his NFL outlook falling somewhere between Martellus Bennett and Antonio Gates. Like Ebron, his ranking on this list suffers from the relatively low value of the TE position in most FF leagues. He also has some minor character red flags to answer.

 

20. RB Bishop Sankey, Washington – A jack of all trades and a master of none, Sankey is yet another RB in this draft who can do a little bit of everything. I rate him a little below some of the others because he looks less dynamic to me. I don't think he's going to be one of the 20 most talented backs in the NFL, but I think he's talented enough that if he goes to an open situation he could make some noise. So as with many of the other backs this year, keep a close eye on who drafts him and what their depth chart looks like.

 

21. TE Jace Amaro, Texas Tech – Amaro put up huge stats in Texas Tech's pass-happy offense as a glorified slot WR. Given that he's a receiving specialist and that those are in vogue at the TE position in the NFL, it's possible that he'll end up being a lot more valuable than this ranking would suggest. We saw what happened with Jordan Reed last year. Amaro is a totally different style of player than Reed though. He's taller and bigger, but a lot less agile. He has somewhat sloppy movement skills. He's not elusive in the open field and won't be a big threat after the catch. He had a pretty modest YPC and really isn't the dynamic athlete that you might think looking at his raw stats. However, if he goes to a team that will utilize him as a pure receiving specialist, there's definitely the potential for a big FF output. So even though he doesn't totally pass the eyeball test for me, I can't rule him out.

 

22. QB Blake Bortles, Central Florida – Bortles has the NFL look with a big frame, decent mobility, and adequate arm strength. Whether or not he has the mental talent of an elite QB is a little more questionable. His 2013 stats were outstanding, but he seemed more comfortable working the outside of the field than the middle. Screens and short WR hitches padded his numbers a little bit. When working the clogged middle, he was less consistent with his decision making and ball placement. He does show some innate ability to evade the rush though and I think he has the right mental toughness and demeanor that you want in a leader. I think there's something interesting to work with here, but at the same time I don't see him as an obvious elite innate passer. He's right in the middle between Jake Locker and Andrew Luck, which could make him comparable to Ryan Tannehill. A physically gifted developmental project with fringe top 10 upside, but probably not Pro Bowl potential.

 

23. QB Teddy Bridgewater, Louisville – Bridgewater offers a contrast in styles compared with Bortles. He's not as good of an athlete and might not have as high of a ceiling, but he's a more polished product with arguably superior mental talent. He makes good decisions, shows good poise under pressure, and can improvise when things break down. He always seems calm and in control. However, his arm strength is nothing spectacular and he has a thin frame for the NFL. I see him as more of a rhythm/touch passer in the mold of Chad Pennington than a real gunslinger like Brees. There's a chance that he could grow and develop over time as Tom Brady did. I like the fact that the mental components all seem to be there, but ultimately my sense is that he lacks a huge upside and will top out as a more of a mid-level player than a real mega star.

 

24. WR Jordan Matthews, Vanderbilt – Matthews had a great college career and is a little more athletic than he might appear at first glance. He's a tall, skinny technician with a little bit of vertical speed and downfield game. I don't think he has the look of a future #1 NFL target, but in the right offense maybe he can be a productive #2. There are other players out there with more upside, so he's a prime candidate to slide down the board in future editions.

 

OTHERS

RB Terrance West, Towson

RB Charles Sims, West Virginia

RB Isaiah Crowell, Alabama State

RB Storm Johnson, Central Florida

RB Tim Flanders, Sam Houston State

WR Robert Herron, Wyoming

WR Jarvis Landry, LSU

WR Cody Latimer, Indiana

WR Martavis Bryant, Clemson



#2 Scott Atkins

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Posted 13 February 2014 - 09:19 PM

EBF, wasn't it you that used to do the player comparisons? Those were really valuable to me. For example: Sammy Watkins isn't Julio Jones he's more like.... 

 

In fact, what would be most valuable to me, would be, 

 

His skills/size combo is most like: 

 

His career production will be most like: 


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#3 Fro

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Posted 17 February 2014 - 02:27 PM

Nice write up EBF.  Always look fwd to this.  



#4 EastBayFunk

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Posted 24 February 2014 - 02:56 PM

Arrow up after the combine:

 

Tre Mason

Brandin Cooks

Bishop Sankey

Martavis Bryant

Andre Williams

 

 

Arrow down a little:

 

Marqise Lee

Carlos Hyde

Jeremy Hill

 

Arrow down a lot:

 

KaDeem Carey


Edited by EastBayFunk, 24 February 2014 - 03:20 PM.


#5 ibgooding

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Posted 28 February 2014 - 10:08 PM

Love the work U put into these rankings.

Gotta question tho about Chris Harper. U ranked Him 15th last year and it seemed like He could be a special wr. Then He fell out of favor ,was cut by Sea, and  wound up in GB. Have U heard anything about His progress? Is He worthy of a hold in dynasty?



#6 Cavalier King Charles

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Posted 28 February 2014 - 10:22 PM

EBF is a superstar when it comes to rankings and analysis.  Very fun to read and useful for draft prep.  

 

EBF, will you be entering the competition this year?  That grand prize is getting up there and Im sure will continue growing year to year.  Perfect environment for builders (because future years ARE worth more than the initial years).  



#7 EastBayFunk

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Posted 01 March 2014 - 09:32 PM

Love the work U put into these rankings.

Gotta question tho about Chris Harper. U ranked Him 15th last year and it seemed like He could be a special wr. Then He fell out of favor ,was cut by Sea, and  wound up in GB. Have U heard anything about His progress? Is He worthy of a hold in dynasty?

 

I'm not too high on Chris Harper these days. Getting cut by two different teams is a big negative. I'd say in most shallow leagues you can safely leave him on the waiver wire. Monitor his progress in the preseason and pounce early if he shows signs of life.

 

I've not heard anything good or bad about how he's been performing in Green Bay so far. I haven't looked too hard.

 

Harper has some nice qualities, but he was always sort of an experiment: Can a huge frame and strong hands compensate for a lack of initial burst and explosiveness? The answer seems to be no. I think part of the lesson to be taken from the failure of Harper and the success of Keenan Allen is how critical it is for WRs to be quick in their routes. That was Harper's biggest weakness and probably Allen's greatest strength. Without that initial burst, they can't separate.

 

That's something that gives me pause with Mike Evans and Kelvin Benjamin this year because it's not their strong suit.


EBF is a superstar when it comes to rankings and analysis.  Very fun to read and useful for draft prep.  

 

EBF, will you be entering the competition this year?  That grand prize is getting up there and Im sure will continue growing year to year.  Perfect environment for builders (because future years ARE worth more than the initial years).  

 

Thanks for the comments.

 

I plan to play this year. Should be fun.


Edited by EastBayFunk, 01 March 2014 - 09:32 PM.


#8 Scott Atkins

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Posted 03 March 2014 - 08:13 AM

What a loaded crop of rookies this class has. I'd be happy with any of the top 7 wide receivers honestly plus a handful of backs. 

 

Funny, but remember the 2004 "loaded WR" class? 

 

Larry Fitzgerald, Roy Williams Reggie williams Lee evans Michael Clayton Michael Jenkins and Rashaun Woods

 

That was I believe my 2nd or 3rd year of playing dynasty and that class was deep at WR. I think we had Winslow, Tatum Bell, Julius Jones etc in this class but I may be mistaken...


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#9 Remedial Geek

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Posted 03 March 2014 - 02:14 PM

kinda makes you pump the brakes on the love feast huh?  Draft season is like a Tsunami, starts off barely noticable then by draft day you look around and your surrounded by water!!!



#10 Eaglezzz

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Posted 04 March 2014 - 01:05 PM

Awesome work EBF.  Not to crowd your thread but I wanted to put my top 50 Fantasy Football Rookies out there as well.

 

01. Mike Evans WR - Texas A&M

02. Sammy Watkins WR - Clemson

03. Tre Mason RB - Auburn

04. Marqise Lee WR - USC

05. Odell Beckham Jr. WR - LSU

06. Kelvin Benjamin WR - Florida State

07. Ka'Deem Carey RB - Arizona

08. Carlos Hyde RB - Ohio State

09. Eric Ebron TE - North Carolina

10. Teddy Bridgewater QB - Louisville

11. Bishop Sankey RB - Washington

12. Jeremy Hill RB - LSU

13. Allen Robinson WR - Penn State

14. Johnny Manziel QB - Texas A&M

15. Brandin Cooks WR - Oregon State

16. Donte Moncrief WR - Ole Miss

17. Jace Amaro TE - Texas Tech

18. Blake Bortles QB - UCF

19. Charles Sims RB - West Virginia

20. Lache Seastrunk RB - Baylor

21. Jordan Matthews WR - Vanderbilt

22. Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE - Washington

23. Davante Adams WR - Fresno State

24. Paul Richardson WR - Colorado

25. Jarvis Landry WR - LSU

26. Troy Niklas TE - Notre Dame

27. Derek Carr QB - Fresno State

28. Andre Williams RB - Boston College

29. Martavius Bryant WR - Clemson

30. Terrance West RB - Towson

31. Jerick McKinnon RB - Georgia Southern

32. Brandon Coleman WR - Rutgers

33. C.J. Fiedorowicz TE - Iowa

34. De'Anthony Thomas RB - Oregon

35. Bruce Ellington WR - South Carolina

36. Devonta Freeman RB - Florida State

37. Joe Don Duncan TE - Dixie State

38. Jimmy Garoppolo QB - Eastern Illinois

39. Marion Grice RB - Arizona State

40. Tyler Gaffney RB - Stanford

41. James Wilder Jr. RB - Florida State

42. Arthur Lynch TE - Georgia

43. Mike Davis WR - Texas

44. Josh Huff WR - Oregon

45. Storm Johnson RB - UCF

46. Crockett Gilmore TE - Colorado State

47. Brett Smith QB - Wyoming

48. Zach Mettenberger QB - LSU

49. A.J. McCarron QB - Alabama

50. David  Fales QB - San Jose State



#11 EastBayFunk

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Posted 04 March 2014 - 06:03 PM

I think this group is notably mainly for the WR depth. There are about 8-12 WRs with solid starting potential. You're going to see pretty good WR prospects fall to the 2nd round of rookie drafts just by virtue of numbers alone.

 

I think this is a very pedestrian RB class. There might not be a first round talent in this bunch. Just a cluster of mediocre guys who will rely on opportunity to yield production. Much like last year's group in that respect.


Awesome work EBF.  Not to crowd your thread but I wanted to put my top 50 Fantasy Football Rookies out there as well.

 


38. Jimmy Garoppolo QB - Eastern Illinois

 

I like what I've seen from this guy, though I need to watch a lot more.

 

Decent frame. Nimble in the pocket. Good arm strength. Very quick release.

 

I need to learn more about his recognition/anticipation/poise, but right now I'm thinking he could be a pretty decent prospect.

 

He looks sort of like what the Bills probably hoped JP Losman would be.


Edited by EastBayFunk, 04 March 2014 - 06:04 PM.


#12 EastBayFunk

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 06:54 PM

New Pre-Draft Top 12. I spent a couple hours writing this up and then accidentally closed the tab as I was finishing #11 and lost all the work, so you'll have to make do with this bare bones edition. The next 12 will be published sometime before the draft.

 

1. WR Sammy Watkins, Clemson

 

Verdict: Vertically explosive receiver with a rare size/speed ratio. Not the tallest guy around, but he's very heavy for his size. Can do some possession stuff, but can also hit the home run on deep passes or catch-and-runs. He's a bit straight-line in his movement and his lower body fluidity/sideways quickness leaves a little bit to be desired. He's not the smoothest athlete in this WR class, but what he has is sheer height/weight/speed/explosiveness. I see him being a relatively safe 1.01 pick. A notch down from the mega elite WR prospects like Calvin, but roughly on par in talent/outlook compared with Crabtree and Blackmon coming out of college (much different playing style though). He may not be the top player in this group when the dust settles, but he seems like he'll be a multi year 1000+ yard NFL WR.

 

NFL Comparison: Love child of Torrey Smith and Julio Jones.

 

2. WR Mike Evans, Texas A&M

 

Verdict: Tall and aggressive with long arms and soft hands. Immense production in college. Not sudden, but has good built-up speed. Stiff and upright. Not the athlete that Vincent Jackson is despite the frequency of that comparison. He is a long-strider with limited ability to sink his hips, drive off his plants, and make people miss. The million dollar question is whether or not he'll able to succeed in the NFL with his sub par separation skills. If yes, he could be a big star. If not, he could be a big flop. I think he's a riskier prospect than his reputation would indicate, but you can't overlook the fact that everyone and their brother has him as a top 10-15 pick in the draft.

 

NFL Comparison: Bigger, slower Michael Floyd.

 

3. RB Tre Mason, Auburn

 

Verdict: Compact with good bulk for his height. Tested well at the combine and looked good in the drills. Given his lack of height, he's still somewhat small overall despite his thickness. Not as crafty as other short, squatty backs like Ray Rice, Gio Bernard, and Brian Westbrook. He's not a great juker. More of a north-south power runner with a little bit of quickness trapped in a slightly shorter than typical frame for that type of back. There's a little bit of a tweener vibe here, but he's talented enough and versatile enough that he should find a decent amount of success.

 

NFL Comparison: Less creative Ray Rice.

 

4. RB Carlos Hyde, Ohio State

 

Verdict: Ideal frame with good quickness, loose hips, and light feet behind the line of scrimmage. He can be a serviceable workhorse starter from day one. He lacks special traits though. No second gear, no explosiveness, and no long run potential. He'll get what's there, but he's not going to add a lot of value above the average replacement level runner. His FF value will always mirror his opportunity, as he's not necessarily so talented that he can emerge as a starter everywhere. Provided that he lands in a good spot, you're drafting the situation more than the talent. He is nowhere near the 4th best NFL talent in this class of skill players. It's all about being a three down RB with opportunity.

 

NFL Comparison: LeVeon Bell meets Eddie Lacy.

 

5. TE Eric Ebron, North Carolina

 

Verdict: The proverbial WR in a TE's body. Very clean movement skills with good speed, agility, and footwork. Great potential as a route runner. He may be the safest skill position prospect in this draft. There are some negatives though. While fast and athletic, he doesn't really have that next level freakish Jimmy Graham or Vernon Davis type of athletic ability. He drops too many passes and seems to lack focus in general. Talent-wise, he's close to a sure thing for a solid career though. A much better NFL prospect than the likes of Mason and Hyde.

 

NFL Comparison: Kellen Winslow Jr. pre-injuries

 

6. WR Marqise Lee, USC

 

Verdict: Excellent athlete who separates with ease. His ability on the field is greater than the sum of his measurables. Very dangerous route runner who can create space for himself routinely when matched up 1-on-1. Elusive with the ball in his hands. Not a burner, but can get vertical. On the downside, he's simply not very tall or thick. He may not hold up to the beating of the pro game. He will drop passes here and there. I think he'll find a way to make an impact, but that he's best viewed as an explosive complementary piece rather than a potential top flight #1 target.

 

NFL Comparison: Greg Jennings, Santonio Holmes, and Kendall Wright in a blender.

 

7. WR Odell Beckham, LSU

 

Verdict: Maybe the best overall athlete at WR in the draft. Good speed. Fluid movement with crisp route running ability and great suddenness. He shows some aggressiveness with the ball in the air. I think he's a can't-miss NFL talent, but his value in FF may be limited by his small frame. He will not outmuscle anyone in the NFL and while he's fast, that may not be enough.

 

NFL Comparison: Rich man's Andre Roberts with a Derrick Mason ceiling.

 

8. WR Allen Robinson, Penn State

 

Verdict: My favorite WR in the draft on film, but there are some tweener qualities that warrant a little bit of caution. He's extremely fluid and elastic. One of the best WRs in this class with the ball in his hands. Natural elusiveness. As a route runner, he easily generates separation with his fluid change of direction and explosive first step quickness. On the downside, he has no second gear. Despite showing up at the combine with a high height/weight, he has very limited lower body strength and is really a finesse player in style. He is not a slam dunk #1 NFL WR, but he's an athlete and a gamer who should find a way to produce, even if it's ultimately as a #2 target.

 

NFL Comparison: The body of AJ Green + Reggie Wayne with a Keenan Allen playing style.

 

9. WR Cody Latimer, Indiana

 

Verdict: Late riser who could go as high as the first round. Tall frame with good upper body strength. Looks the part "on the hoof" and shows good athletic ability with the ball in the air. Not a true deep threat, but he can run a bit. Biggest question for me is route running and small-window athleticism, as in the games I've seen he telegraphed routes and didn't show the consistent ability to create separation driving out of his breaks. Could be a tough jack-of-all-trades possesion WR.

 

NFL Comparison: Eric Decker with a thin layer of Devin Thomas risk.

 

 

10. RB Jeremy Hill, LSU

 

Verdict: A risky prospect due to his horrendous workout numbers. Did the system at LSU and the amateur competition hide his flaws? He looks better on tape than he did at the combine with nimble feet and just enough cutting ability. He can catch the ball and has a high FF ceiling as a potential workhorse back. He's also a riskier NFL prospect than many of the WR/TE options here. I'll ultimately rank him wherever his draft slot/situation warrant. Could be higher or lower than this.

NFL Comparison: LenDale White meets LeVeon Bell.

 

 

11. RB Lache Seastrunk, Baylor

 

Verdict: A boom-or-bust prospect whose high ceiling makes him a tempting pick over more highly-regarded NFL prospects. Vertically explosive and stronger than he looks, but suspect cutting ability in tight spaces and inside running potential raise questions over how he'll pan out. The potential is alluring, but the flipside is that you're more likely to crap out than with a WR/TE here.

 

NFL Comparison: I can't think of an obvious one.

 

 

12. TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Washington

 

Verdict: BIG athlete with nimble feet and imposing size/hands at the catch point. Lacks elite fast-twitch explosiveness, but is a fluid mover with excellent potential as a red zone/possession target. A boring FF proposition because of his position, but he's one of the better NFL prospects in this class.

 

NFL Comparison: Better version of Martellus Bennett.


Edited by EastBayFunk, 29 April 2014 - 06:54 PM.


#13 Scott Atkins

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Posted 29 April 2014 - 07:11 PM

Fyi, there is an auto save feature. Let me check

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#14 Eaglezzz

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Posted 06 May 2014 - 09:31 AM

Solid top 12 EBF, nice work!

 

I think the big key for fantasy purposes is seeing how all these RB's fit in 



#15 EastBayFunk

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Posted 06 May 2014 - 06:03 PM

Rest of the top 24:

 

13. WR Brandin Cooks, Oregon State

 

Verdict: Cooks is another tricky player to gauge. He clearly has a special athletic quality with his elite speed/acceleration that shows up both on the field and in workouts. He was massively productive in college and he's projected to be a first round pick. At the same time, he looks and plays very small without the conventional frame of a #1 target. He also has a bit of a stiff, jerky quality in his movement as opposed to the smoothness of guys like Lee and Beckham. There is a chance that his rare explosiveness and speed will see him become a star at the next level, but in my view he's much more likely to end up as an explosive complementary piece. Tavon Austin was a similar player last year (a little bit smaller, but also a little bit smoother) and while it's too early to judge his career, he looks like a reach in hindsight. I am somewhat lukewarm on Cooks as an FF commodity.

 

NFL Comparison: Bigger, less fluid Tavon Austin

 

 

14. WR Donte Moncrief, Mississippi

 

Verdict: A height/weight/speed/explosiveness dynamo. Apart from Sammy Watkins, I consider Moncrief to be the preeminent deep threat in this draft. He has instant acceleration and good top speed to separate downfield. While his lateral movement is somewhere between below average to average, he is a dangerous route runner on vertical routes such as the comeback and post. He can also make things happen after the catch due to his size and straight line speed. However, there are plenty of negatives as well. He drops too many passes. He cradle catches constantly, only extending his hands from his frame when absolutely necessary. He shows limited “it” factor when it comes to improvisation and he's not very good at operating in tight windows. He is not a great possession receiver. In the NFL, expect him to be a maddeningly inconsistent home run threat who earns his paycheck with big plays, but frustrates those who expect him to polish the edges and become the total package. He would be an excellent fit for a team like Pittsburgh or Philadelphia where he can run under bombs all day without the pressure of having to be the main man in the passing game.

 

NFL Comparison: Bigger cross between Torrey Smith and Mike Wallace

 

 

15. WR Davante Adams, Fresno State

 

Verdict: Adams is a tough possession WR with a big frame and pretty good overall athleticism. Though he's not a truly fluid mover, he remains effective because he has a sharp initial burst. He is an excellent leaper who can consistently win contested catches. He lacks great top speed to beat NFL DBs vertically, but he will earn his keep as a gritty catch-and-run possession WR with good potential in the red zone. If he were a little more elastic and elusive he would have a case for being a first round prospect ala Hakeem Nicks, Michael Crabtree, and Justin Blackmon. As it stands right now, expect him to be a 2nd round pick who contributes in the NFL as a solid complementary #2 target.

 

NFL Comparison: A less fluid Hakeem Nicks

 

 

16. RB Andre Williams, Boston College

 

Verdict: A somewhat misunderstood prospect. There's a widely held belief that Williams is a plodder, but that's not really accurate. He has deceptively good athleticism, which he showed at the combine with some excellent results in the sprints and jumps. He is actually quite athletic, with surprising speed and a monstrous frame. However, he's a long strider who lacks the compact movement and cutting skills to operate in tight spaces. He is not great at weaving through his blockers and when he gets into the open field he struggles to elude defenders at the second level. He is never going to be great in space and his potential as a receiver will be limited accordingly. All that said, he has some genuine wow qualities as a straight-line runner and may actually be an underrated athlete/talent. He looks the part of an NFL RB from a physique standpoint and could be a pleasant surprise in a one-cut scheme that showcases his strengths while minimizing his weaknesses. Given his long strider build and his corresponding lack of avoidance skills, expect him to be frequently injured and banged up.

 

NFL Comparison: A hybrid of Brandon Jacobs and Andre Brown with a little bit of Alfred Morris

 

 

17. RB Devonta Freeman, Florida State

 

Verdict: Didn't test very well at the combine and doesn't have any standout athletic traits on paper, but he's a tough and versatile back who should find some kind of role in the NFL. He runs with good lower body strength and power. Though not a burner, he has a decent initial burst with adequate speed. He's an okay inside runner with pretty decent cutting ability. He can catch passes out of the backfield and is a high effort player who gives 100%. Most observers project him to be a solid backup/change of pace option in the NFL. That's the most likely outcome, but he has just a little bit of Ray Rice potential and that slim probability is enough to pump up his value compared to some WR/QB/TE options who will be drafted higher by the NFL.

 

NFL Comparison: Ahmad Bradshaw

 

 

18. RB Bishop Sankey, Washington

 

Verdict: One of the most overrated players in this FF crop, IMO. Although he had a good college career and tested well at the combine, I've consistently found him to be a pretty mediocre player on tape. He's not bad. He just doesn't have any special qualities. Average size with minimal power. Average playing speed. He's versatile and he can be somebody's starter for a year or two in a pinch, but absent a great opportunity I think he's just a backup at the next level.

 

NFL Comparisons: Tashard Choice and Chester Taylor

 

 

19. QB Blake Bortles, Central Florida

 

Verdict: Bortles has a lot of the qualities that you look for in an NFL starter. He has a big frame with adequate arm strength. He's a confident personality who won't be rattled by big moments. He was productive in college and showed good improvement over the course of his career. Though not a great athlete, he's not a total statue either. He can move around just enough. I think he has all of the tools needed to develop into a mid-level NFL starter like Joe Flacco. Whether or not he can reach higher rungs of excellence is more questionable. His vision and anticipation are just average from what I can tell. He often waits too long to release the ball. It caused a lot of deflections at the college level and at the NFL it will be exponentially more problematic. He's also inconsistent throwing over the middle of the field, raising questions about his vision in traffic. Overall, I think he's an average mental talent with solid physical skills who can develop into a capable player, but might not have a mega star ceiling. I consider him a pretty solid proposition in 2QB or super flex formats, but would otherwise be inclined to let him slide into the late 2nd round range based on the low value of the QB position and the seemingly low probability of him ever becoming a top 5 type of guy.

 

NFL Comparison: A very poor man's Andrew Luck

 

 

20. WR Kelvin Benjamin, Florida State

 

Verdict: A bit of an enigma. Benjamin is a huge target who flashes great skills on jump balls, using his size to shield off helplessly overmatched defenders. There are times when he looks dominant. On the other hand, he is an inconsistent receiver with suspect focus and intensity on the field. He moves okay given how big he is, but all the same he is not a particularly crisp or sudden receiver. When he attacks the ball, he usually does well, but he will let it get into his body and drop passes. He's also old for a rookie prospect, meaning there's very little growth potential. He has deceptive downfield speed because of his long strides, but he's not a threat to elude after the catch. There are some WR-TE tweener qualities that bring to mind former USC/Detroit draft bust Mike Williams. On the other hand, there are times when he looks very impressive and if someone can figure out how to use him then there's probably a higher ceiling than with several of the other WRs in this range:

 

NFL Comparison: Mike Williams (USC)

 

 

21. QB Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M

 

Verdict: One of the most controversial and scrutinized prospects to enter the draft in years. Manziel is a fantastic athlete with great mobility in and out of the pocket. He is a natural runner with great quickness. Mentally, he's a courageous player who never gets rattled. At the same time, a lot of what he does in college is gimmicky stuff that won't work in the NFL. He's so desperate to make things happen that he'll occasionally throw the ball up for grabs. He seems a little too quick to abandon the play and take off, preferring to improvise rather than trusting the play. Although he is a legitimate athlete, he will not be a Mike Vick/RG3/Newton caliber runner in the NFL. He's also not a big guy who can hold up to a lot of hits. He'll need to play a more controlled, disciplined game than he did at A&M. It may take years for him to adapt, but the pressure on him will be enormous and if he isn't successful right away then there could be a huge backlash. Overall, he's a gimmicky project with enough athletic tools and innate football ability to make you think he might just be able to pull it off. Huge boom-or-bust pick.

 

NFL Comparison: A more gifted Jeff Garcia

 

 

22. TE Jace Amaro, Texas Tech

 

Verdict: A receiving TE who put up gaudy stats last season in Texas Tech's pass-happy offense. He's a tall target, with long arms, and good hands. However, he's not a very smooth athlete. Very sloppy lower body movement. He is not a good route runner or very nifty after the catch. His stats were very impressive in college, but the system was a huge contributing variable. Texas Tech had a huge amount of pass attempts last season and Amaro played as a de facto slot WR much of the time. There's a chance that he could go into the NFL and make a big FF impact by virtue of being a WR with TE eligibility, but this is not Jordan Reed or Aaron Hernandez. He's a limited athlete with poor YAC skills. It wouldn't be unprecedented for him to find some success. Rob Gronkowski is a sloppy athlete, but he has been tremendously effective when healthy with his straight-line speed and size. I can't rule out the possibility of Amaro following suit. However, he's certainly not someone that I'll be investing in. I clearly prefer Ebron and ASJ in this TE class and I think Amaro owes much of his hype to his friendly college system.

 

NFL Comparison: Travis Kelce

 

 

23. WR Jordan Matthews, Vanderbilt

 

Verdict: Immensely productive in college, Matthews showed himself to be an underrated pure athlete with some solid marks in the February combine testing. He's a tall, linear receiver who could offer value as a complementary vertical threat running a lot of intermediate-deep routes. However, I don't think he has any real chance of being a #1 and his upside may be limited. Though tall, he has a slender build without great playing strength. He's not particularly elusive with the ball in his hands and doesn't project as a great possession receiver due to his lack of initial quickness, strength, and RAC ability. He's a hard worker and he'll find a way to contribute in the NFL, but I don't see him as a strong FF prospect.

 

NFL Comparison: Taller, more productive version of Tavarres King

 

 

24. WR Martavis Bryant, Clemson

 

Verdict: He didn't have great college stats, but you can't totally blame him considering that Hopkins and Watkins were around to steal targets. Bryant is a tall receiver with good vertical speed. Though not as thick as Donte Moncrief, he is similar in the sense that his deep threat potential will likely appeal to teams and see him drafted a little higher than his production and overall skill set warrant. Bryant has wiry strength, but is still slender overall. He's not a bad athlete, but his possession game and route running are very much a work in progress. At his best, he is a devastating deep threat with good jump ball ability. Whether or not someone can mold him into a consistent and well-rounded WR is a major question mark though. Overall, he's a classic boom-or-bust proposition.

 

NFL Comparison: A faster Limas Sweed

 

 

Bridgewater would be 25th with mostly the same comments I made in my initial list. Crowell, West, and McKinnon would be some of the next names to go.


And my All-Sleeper/Day3/UDFA team below:

 

QB - David Fales, San Jose State

RB - Isaiah Crowell, Alabama State

RB - Branden Oliver, Buffalo

WR - Bruce Ellington, South Carolina

WR - Eric Thomas, Troy

TE - Colt Lyerla, ex-Oregon


Edited by EastBayFunk, 06 May 2014 - 06:04 PM.


#16 Scott Atkins

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Posted 07 May 2014 - 06:42 PM

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#17 EastBayFunk

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Posted 08 May 2014 - 09:55 PM

Day one in the books. Arrow down for Lee. Arrow up for Cooks.

 

Still pretty suspicious of Benjamin despite him sneaking into the 1st round. I think he's the most likely to flop outright of these first round WR/TE.

 

Minor arrow down for Latimer. Part of the reason why I liked him was the possibility of him being graded as a 1st rounder. Without that stamp of approval, he drops down into Moncrief/Adams territory.



#18 Crown Their Ash

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Posted 09 May 2014 - 05:55 AM

i'm thinking the WR "slips" are due more to a VBD-like effect.  there are many really good WRs.   The many good WRs is causing teams to draft need and/or less deep positions and waiting on WR.  but, can't wait to see what happens tonight!


Edited by Crown Their Ash, 09 May 2014 - 11:19 AM.


#19 FantasyQBonTwitter

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Posted 09 May 2014 - 04:48 PM

This Josh Gordon news is about to shake the dynasty draft season ... let's see if Cleveland makes it obvious in the draft. 


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#20 EastBayFunk

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Posted 10 May 2014 - 11:43 PM

Bad news for Seastrunk to drop so far. He will be a lot lower on the post-draft list as a result.

 

I would also expect Martavis Bryant to drop out after getting a relatively ho-hum 4th round draft slot.

 

On the other hand, Terrance West will get a bump up into the 15-24 range.



#21 eNdblu

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Posted 12 May 2014 - 02:43 PM

Bad news for Seastrunk to drop so far. He will be a lot lower on the post-draft list as a result.

 

I would also expect Martavis Bryant to drop out after getting a relatively ho-hum 4th round draft slot.

 

On the other hand, Terrance West will get a bump up into the 15-24 range.

When do you think you'll have those rankings out, EBF?

Tried to PM you on FBG, but I'm guessing your inbox is full



#22 EastBayFunk

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Posted 12 May 2014 - 07:42 PM

 

Bad news for Seastrunk to drop so far. He will be a lot lower on the post-draft list as a result.

 

I would also expect Martavis Bryant to drop out after getting a relatively ho-hum 4th round draft slot.

 

On the other hand, Terrance West will get a bump up into the 15-24 range.

When do you think you'll have those rankings out, EBF?

Tried to PM you on FBG, but I'm guessing your inbox is full

 

 

Working on that right now. It's going to be a quick, shotgun style deal as I'm pretty swamped at the moment and about to head out of town.



#23 EastBayFunk

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Posted 12 May 2014 - 08:58 PM

Tentative pass at post-draft rankings;

 

 

1. WR Sammy Watkins, Bills – The solid, safe choice. At worst, he should be a quality FF WR2. Buffalo overpaid dearly for his services IMO, but at the same time he should be a perennial 1000 yard threat with lots of big play potential.

 

2. WR Mike Evans, Buccaneers – Do I love his game? Not really. I wish he had better separation skills, but based on him being a 6'4”+ top 10 draft pick at WR I think you have to take him if you stay in the 2 slot. He fits the generic mold of the guys who become dominant FF WRs.

 

3. TE Eric Ebron, Lions – He may take a year to find his stride in the league, but he's a top 4-5 dynasty option at his position from day one. The only reason he isn't higher is because TEs simply aren't worth that much in most FF leagues. With Golden Tate and Calvin Johnson pulling coverage deep, he will be a nightmare in the middle of the field. Should be a reception machine, though the TDs might not be spectacular.

 

4. WR Brandin Cooks, Saints – He's really small and I don't love him on tape, but he was devastating in college and he has rare measured speed and acceleration. Blistering speed and his shuttle times at the combine were almost off-the-charts fast. Put him on turf with Brees and the possibilities are exciting. He could have immediate WR3/flex value as a rookie.

 

5. WR Odell Beckham, Giants – One of the safest picks in the draft. Draft him and lock up your WR3 spot for the next 6-7 years. The only downside is the lack of top upside. He's never going to be a top 10 dynasty WR. More of a top 20-25 guy.

 

6. RB Bishop Sankey, Titans – I don't like him that much on tape. I think he's just okay. I also think Shonn Greene may be a little harder to nudge aside than most expect. All the same, he was the first RB drafted and he has the best immediate opportunity of any RB in this class. Barring a catastrophic rookie year, he should hold solid trade value for the next 12 months. If you don't like what you see after year one, pawn him off to a believer and try your luck again next year.

 

7. WR Allen Robinson, Jaguars – He doesn't quite fit the height/weight/speed profile of an elite pro because his 40 time is too slow. However, I like him a lot on film and think he's a good bet to become a productive pro. He has rare quickness and RAC skills for a tall receiver with jump ball skills and sneaky route running ability to boot. For the price of a late first, I love the gamble. Linking up with the same WR coach who had Anquan Boldin as a rookie is a nice little bonus.

 

8. RB Carlos Hyde, 49ers – I don't love Hyde as an NFL talent. He's fluid with an ideal frame for the position, but he lacks fast-twitch explosiveness and deep run ability. He's a one speed runner and in the NFL that might be a problem. San Francisco's running game is formidable, but the 49ers have a mixed track record evaluating skill prospects (AJ Jenkins, Vance McDonald, LaMichael James). While it's the most likely outcome, I don't think you can assume that he's going to run away with Frank Gore's job in a year or two. All the same, the prospect of getting a war horse in this running game is very inticing and warrants a high pick.

 

9. WR Davante Adams, Packers – I don't think he's a great prospect in a vacuum. He's just solid. Not incredible. Doesn't move as well as guys like Robinson and Lee. This ranking is about the fit and the situation. For middle-of-the-road WR2 types like Mike Williams Stevie Johnson, and Eric Decker, situation is the biggest variable in their production. Stick them in a bad slot and they will be useless. Stick them in a good spot and they will be rock solid every-week starters. Adams is no better than those guys in my estimation, but he went to the dream situation. He may be a better overall receiver than James Jones and with Nelson/Cobb around he will have plenty of room to do his thing.

 

10. WR Marqise Lee, Jaguars – Why is he lower than Robinson? Just a last minute gut call I guess. Robinson is bigger with a higher ceiling. I really like Lee as an NFL asset. He's a deadly route runner on short-intermediate passing plays due to his unique ability to explode in and out of his breaks. He is going to be a solid NFL contributor. Will he be a great FF player? He's thin, he's not a true burner, and he drops passes. He's probably strictly a WR2-WR3. Like a slightly more risky Odell Beckham. The lack of top upside suppresses his stock a little bit.

 

11. RB Tre Mason, Rams – He landed in a pretty good spot, yet still I moved him down a bit. I don't think he's quite as strong of an NFL prospect as some of the other candidates here. He's a little bit of a tweener without the 220+ pound frame to pound the ball or the blistering explosiveness of a Spiller/Bush. He's Ray Rice with less cutting ability. He has tangibly more north-south explosiveness than Jeremy Hill or Carlos Hyde though. He may not be a true franchise back, but the opportunity for immediate impact is there with just Zac Stacy to beat out. A fair gamble in the 10-14 range.

 

12. TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Buccaneers – He's not a sudden or explosive guy. However, he has tremendous feet for a player of his size and should be a nightmare as a box out target with underrated mobility. Think a better version of Kyle Rudolph or Martellus Bennett. If you want top upside, he's probably not the pick. If you want a quality prospect with a high floor, he's a good candidate in this range.

 

13. WR Cody Latimer, Broncos – He's got some issues as a route runner. Runs a bit duck-footed and tips his routes. Despite the height/weight deficit, he looks and plays stronger than Allen Robinson. However, he lacks the same movement skills and is more pedestrian in and out of his breaks. He's okay in a straight line, but he's not going to make people miss with the ball in his hands. He projects as a solid #2 possession WR with a little bit of vertical speed. He'll never be Demaryius Thomas, but he can be Eric Decker. The question is how long will Manning play and how valuable will the WR2 slot be here once he's gone? I'm cautiously optimistic about Latimer, but not totally bullish.

 

14. WR Donte Moncrief, Colts – The fact that he fell so far in the draft is a testament to his numerous flaws as a receiver. He's not really that great. He has limited quickness and he drops passes, but he does a few things exceptionally well and this is an absolutely perfect situation to unlock his potential. He will give the Colts what they hoped they were getting in Darrius Heyward-Bey: a deep threat who can bomb downfield all game. If they can turn him into an even passable possession WR over time, he could be a 1000+ yard guy. The player, the draft slot, and the situation all echo another former Ole Miss product: Mike Wallace. That's the outcome you're hoping for here. He is a better FF proposition than NFL talent thanks to his lucky landing spot with Andrew Luck.

 

15. RB Jeremy Hill, Bengals – His immediate upside is capped with Bernard in the picture and he may or may not have the talent to emerge as a starter elsewhere down the road. I like him best in deep mandatory 2RB leagues where his BJGE+ production figures to have some flex/depth value. His combine numbers are a major red flag and a lot of signs point towards him being a LenDale White type of performer in the NFL, but ultimately he's a 2nd round RB with starter size, decent hands, and excellent college production in a top conference. At some point you have to take the plunge. In 1RB leagues, consider passing on him for the likes of Manziel, Benjamin, and Amaro.

 

16. QB Johnny Manziel, Browns – At some point, you have to take the first round QBs off the board instead of drafting inferior talents at the premium positions. It's neck-and-neck for me between Manziel and Bortles. Bortles was the (significantly) higher pick and may be the safer investment. However, there's no denying that Manziel has a certain magic that makes you think about the possible megastar upside. If nothing else, his running ability should make him FF-relevant sooner. It's enough to tilt the scales here in his favor. Major, major bust risk though.

 

17. QB Blake Bortles, Jaguars – I feel like Bortles is a middle-of-the-road 1st round QB prospect. Is he going to be a star? Maybe not, but you have to trust the process to some extent and the Jags burned a very high on him after surely doing all their due diligence. I like what they are building in Jacksonville with Bortles/Gerhart/Robinson/Lee. They may finally be headed somewhere. In a format with low value for QBs, I could see myself letting him drop 3-5 spots lower than this, as he seems like more of a merely solid prospect than a strong bet for stardom.

 

18. TE Jace Amaro, Jets – I don't particularly like him, but he went high to a team that desperately needs pass catchers. They will do everything in their power to get the most out of him and he might be good enough to churn out solid FF numbers despite his deficiencies. He isn't a great athlete, but he runs halfway okay and he's a big target who catches well. In a TE-premium, he has to go higher than this. Without the positional pressure, I wouldn't take him in the top 15.

 

19. WR Kelvin Benjamin, Panthers – He's a first round WR and should be rated higher than this by virtue of that alone, but I just don't believe in his ability. I think he's fantastic in jump ball situations. It's fun to watch him go up and snag the contested catch. Beyond that, he seems like a limited prospect. Despite where Carolina took him, he's routinely sliding in my rookie drafts. It may be that everyone is underestimating his potential or it may be that we're all correct in thinking the Panthers flubbed this pick. Personally, I'll be avoiding him if possible.

 

20. RB Terrance West, Browns – I didn't love him in the build up to the draft and I still don't, but he went relatively high in the draft for a small school guy to a team with a suspect RB group. He's not really that quick, but he's compact with deceptive speed. Okay cutter. Not great. Just okay. He can catch the ball. Overall, he reminds me of a Zac Stacy type of player. Solid. Not great. Not an ideal starting option, but someone who can step in and produce. Is he the future starter here or just a warm body for depth? That's the million dollar question. His market price is reasonable, so it won't crush you to find out.

 

21. RB Andre Williams, Giants – This is the perfect fit for Williams, who reminds me of Brandon Jacobs and Andre Brown as an NFL commodity. He'll never catch passes, he'll get injured, and he'll always be in a committee. But...he is an excellent north-south zone runner with some freaky athletic traits. If any team was going to get the most out of him, this was the best fit. Avoid him in 1RB leagues unless he falls far below this, but consider him as a depth option in mandatory start 2RB leagues where he could give you a couple seasons of Brandon Jacobs numbers.

 

22. WR Jordan Matthews, Eagles – The landing spot is good and the high-ish draft slot is a positive as well. Ultimately, I'm just not a big fan of his skill set. He's a vertical receiver without great vertical speed. He's tall, but he lacks the bulk or elusiveness to function as a west coast RAC type of guy. Everything about him screams mediocre NFL #2 to me, so I just can't get too excited about him. Bear in mind that while Chip Kelly did well as a coach in year one, that was mostly with another regime's players. His regime is still largely unknown as an evaluator of talent.

 

23. RB Devonta Freeman, Falcons – My take on Freeman has been fairly consistent. Tough guy with a nice combination of inside running ability and pass catching skills. He can do a little bit of everything and was a nice NFL value pick for the Falcons at the top of the 4th round. However, he's not really a “wow” type of back in any way and so you wonder if his destiny is for change of pace duties rather than as a starter. Given that he can catch the rock, you might want to consider him ahead of Williams in PPR formats. I just think he's more likely to be 150 touch guy than a true workhorse and that limits his FF value. He is going a little higher in rookie drafts than where I'd care to take him, but at the same time I like him as an NFL talent. He will contribute.

 

24. RB Lache Seastrunk, Redskins – I liked him before the draft, but there were tea leaves that the league didn't consider him a great prospect and that turned into reality when he sank like a stone on draft day. He fell all the way to the 6th round and should be viewed strictly as a boom-or-bust hail mary. All that being said, at this stage of the draft I don't mind rolling the dice on him. The risk is minimal and the potential reward could be immense. I really believe he's more talented than his draft slot indicates, but you can't totally dismiss it either.


Edited by EastBayFunk, 13 May 2014 - 12:44 AM.


#24 Cavalier King Charles

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Posted 12 May 2014 - 10:33 PM

Love it.  Thanks EBF. 






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