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Inside The Box: DraftKings Advice for 3.25.14 (Short Slate Version)


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#1 nweitzer7

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 07:27 AM

Inside The Box: DraftKings Advice for 3.25.14 

 

If you know the NBA or MLB you should really try playing Daily Fantasy Sports on DraftKings. No other DFS site can equal the size of Kings' pools and payouts, and you can get started by playing $2, $1 or even $0.25 games HERE. Who knows, you may turn that $2 entry fee into a $500 payout if you do enough research, that's how I made my bankroll and now I'm free rolling with over $1,000 of winnings.

 

They will match your initial deposit ($100 deposit = $100 bonus) over time and get you started with a free ticket to the $2 guaranteed prize pool. Now's a great time to get started with huge College Basketball games later this month and Daily MLB action starting in April.

 

 

Challenge me to a $1 Heads up game tonight!  
 

Or try to win big through one of these contests: (GPPs - Guaranteed Prize Pools)

 

$2 Bank Shot Qualifier:  $500 prize pool

$2 Layup  $6,000 prize pool

Or for a Shot at the Million $ Contest : $55 Bank Shot Qualifier 

 

 

 

 

Tonight, Tuesday March 25, 2014

 

 

 

 

Game to Avoid:

 

 

·       Toronto Raptors (-5) @ Cleveland Cavaliers: O/U – 197.5

The Cavs pulled out a win in MSG on Sunday, but it took a transcendent performance from Jarrett Jack (52.75 DK points) and the team could be exhausted after playing 3 games in 4 nights. Now they host a feisty Raptors squad that is favored on the road, and that usually means defense will play a huge role in a potential victory for Toronto. The Raptors are allowing the 3rd fewest FPPG to opposing SGs, 2nd fewest FPPG to centers over the last two weeks, and rank 6th in the NBA in PPG allowed (97.7). Dion Waiters and Jarrett Jack have been solid plays since Kyrie Irving went down, but don't expect guaranteed production from either in this tough matchup. The Cavs front court situation is a mess with Anderson Varejao back in the fold, and Luol Deng's return muddies the value of Alonzo Gee and Matthew Dellavedova. 

 

Kyle Lowry is wearing down after going HAM all season, and Dwayne Casey limited him to 27 minutes on Sunday. There's a chance he plays more than that when the Raptors face the Cavs tonight, but at $8800 it's too risky to play him. Amir Johnson is dealing with a mild knee injury, and has exited plenty of games with ankle sprains this season. Terrence Ross can get benched at any point, and Jonas Valancunias simply isn't about that NBA life. The only Raptor I would trust tonight is DeMar DeRozan, and even he is capable of turning in a dud if his jumper isn't falling. With three other appealing contests on the slate tonight, there's no real reason to load up on this 7 p.m. game. 

 

 

 

 

 Outside The Box:

 

·      Monta Ellis has been putting up garbage lines for months now, but actually showed some consistency over the last three games with 40+ DK points in each of those contests. Now he gets a matchup with a Thunder team that has been downright awful against SGs since Thabo Sefolosha went down, and his quickness should pose a major problem for their defense. He's worth a look in GPP formats, but not to be completely trusted.

·      I've been anticipating a big game from Kendall Marshall with Jordan Farmar and Steve Nash injured, but it's never come. As long as Mike D'Antoni has a healthy guard that he feels somewhat comfortable with, that player will run the show and Marshall will remain a token starter that plays less than 30 minutes. Nick Young is currently that player.

·      Keep an eye on Jose Calderon's status. If he is forced to miss tonight's game after suffering a nasty elbow to the face on Sunday, Devin Harris would see extended minutes at PG and could easily pay off his $4200 price tag.

 

 

 

 

Player Recommendations:

 

 

Point Guard

 

Russell Westbrook (OKC) vs. DAL: $7900

 

Oh man, 30+ minutes of Russ Westbrook for less than 8K? That’s a deal, it’s a steal, it’s a no-brainer, and I can think of no reason to fade him under any circumstances. Westy is producing an absurd 1.7 FP per min in 8 March contests, so it follows that he should break 45 DK points if he plays around 30 minutes tonight. The Mavericks beat down the Thunder last weekend as Westbrook rested, and he only faced Dallas in the second game of the season with modest results. Tonight, however, he should come out in attack mode as he’s stated that his latest knee scare will not change the way he plays, and almost no one in the NBA fills the stat sheet as effectively as Westbrook when he’s right.

 

 

Values: Victor Oladipo would be a solid play at $6600 if Jameer Nelson (knee) is still out.

 

Jarrett Jack was on fire on Sunday night and may carry that momentum over, but a matchup with Toronto will prove more difficult and his $5700 price tag is troubling. Matt Dellavedova is getting minutes, but his production will continue to dip with Luol Deng back in the lineup.

 

Mo Williams is the closest thing to a value play at the PG position as he produced 30 DK points in 32 minutes against the Heat last night. He’s just $4000 and gets a much better matchup with the Magic tonight.

 

 

 

Shooting Guard

 

DeMar DeRozan (TOR) vs. CLE: $8300

 

DDR has been solid all season and is heating up with per game averages of 28.5 PTs, 5.25 REB, and 4 AST in his last four appearances. He’s worth the money tonight because Kyle Lowry was limited to just 27 minutes on Sunday as the Raptors looked to allow him to recover from an array of injuries. Lowry will probably play over 30 minutes tonight, but if he’s hurt, or not playing with his usual reckless abandon, a lot of the scoring load will fall on DeRozan. The Cavs give up a below average 37.24 FPPG to opposing SGs and their defense certainly won’t improve with Dion Waiters starting at the 2, so expect DeRozan to continue to hoist a ton of shots as the Raptors primary scorer, and perhaps become more of a facilitator if Lowry is resting.

 

 

Values: Nick Young is a preferred play at $5000 if you can’t afford DeRozan. The Lakers badly need his scoring and he’s produced 47 PTs in two games since returning from a knee injury. He’s also stealing Kendall Marshall’s minutes at the point, so he may actually fill the usually empty (AST) portion of his stat line.

 

Xavier Henry may battle through a wrist injury to play tonight, but Wes Johnson is a far safer play at $3900. Johnson produced a modest 13.5 FPs in Sunday’s game, but Mike D’Antoni suggested that he needs to play harder, and if he sees more effort, Wes could log more than the 21 minutes he saw in that contest.

 

 

 

 

 

Small Forward

 

Carmelo Anthony (NYK) vs. LAL: $10,200

I will not pay over 11K for Durant on night’s when Westbrook is playing and probably shouldn’t have last night considering I thought the Nuggets would get blown out. That leaves Anthony as the top play at SF tonight, and he shouldn’t disappoint in a matchup with the uber-soft Lakers defense. Melo scored 35 points (on 31 shots) when the Lakers visited MSG in late January, and should be able to hit a few more of those jumpers consider L.A. has only gotten worse defensively since then. He’s coming off a great came against Cleveland in which he was stymied down the stretch, so look for Anthony to come out aggressive as the Knicks try to get back on the winning path. He may also be motivated to play a great all-around game in Phil Jackson’s home city, but should be productive in this plus matchup regardless.

 

 

Values:  Caron Butler lit it up against the Nuggets last night, and could carry that momentum over in a matchup with his former team. At $4300 he presents some risk, but has enough upside to approach the 29.5 DK points he produced last night.

 

Alonzo Gee is pretty much the opposite type of play, in that he won’t light up the scoreboard but is a solid player that will produce 10-20 FPs. At $3400 he’s a decent punt play tonight.

 

 

 

Power Forward

 

Jordan Hill (LAL) vs. NYK: $4600

Don’t even bother looking at the top options at PF on this short slate. With Pau Gasol doubtful for tonight’s tilt, Hill is the player you want to use as he was actually more productive than Gasol when they were both on the floor in the first quarter of Sunday’s game. Now he will start alongside the fossilized Chris Kaman, who is also a decent play at $5000, and should produce double digit rebounds along with some points and a few blocks. There’s not really much more to be said about Hill, as his price is simply too good to pass up.

 

 

Values:  Amare Stoudemire is always a good option if he’s active, and is still just $4500 despite consistently totaling 25-35 FPs.

 

Ryan Kelly would also see more minutes off the bench if Gasol is inactive. There’s no way Chris Kaman can handle a full slate of minutes and Kelly could be a great value play at $4100.

 

 

 

 

Center

 

Tyson Chandler (NYK) vs. LAL: $5300

Chandler was one of many disappointing players on Sunday, as he produced just 14.5 DK points while attempting two shots and pulling down a measly six rebounds in 36 minutes of action. He looked gassed out on the floor, and for whatever reason, didn’t resemble the beast he had been prior to his brief personal leave of absence. Well he gets a great opportunity to find his stride as the Knicks face a Lakers team that is coughing up the MOST FPPG (49.48), RPG (16.15), and APG (3.2) to opposing centers this season. The Lakers blistering pace should create plenty of rebounding opportunities, and a frontcourt of Chris Kaman and Jordan Hill shouldn’t offer too much resistance in the paint.

 

 

Values: As mentioned above, Chris Kaman is a decent option at $5000 if Pau Gasol can’t play tonight. Below that, the pickings are very slim at the center position.

 

 

 

Will answer any lineup questions on twitter @nweitzer7

 

Challenge me to a $1 Heads up game tonight!  

Or try to win big through one of these contests: (GPPs - Guaranteed Prize Pools)

 

$2 Bank Shot Qualifier:  $500 prize pool

$2 Layup  $6,000 prize pool

Or for a Shot at the Million $ Contest : $55 Bank Shot Qualifier

 

 


Edited by nweitzer7, 25 March 2014 - 10:32 AM.





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